Wednesday, October 14, 2015

Investment Analysis-Derivatives Markets



DERIVATIVE MARKETS
A derivatives exchange is a market where individuals trade standardized contracts that have been defined by the exchange. Derivatives exchanges have existed for a long time.
The value of the derivative instrument is DERIVED from the underlying security
Financial Marketplace

·         Forward Markets
·         Futures Markets
·         Options
FORWARD MARKETS:
A forward contract is an agreement between a bank and its client to buy or sell a financial asset for a delivery on a future date at a predetermined price.
Gives holder the right and obligation to purchasean asset at a preset price for a specified period oftime.
The owner of a forward has the OBLIGATION to sell or buy something in the future at a predetermined price. The difference to a future contract is that forwards are not standardized.
A Forward Contract underlies the same principles as a future contract, besides the aspect of non-standardization. Thus, a detail illustration is not necessary as I already elaborated in the mechanism of the futures contract.
One of the parties to a forward contract assumes a long position and agrees to buy the underlying asset on a certain specified future date for a certain specified price. The other party assumes a short position and agrees to sell the asset on the same date for the same price.
Forward contracts on foreign exchange are very popular, and can be used to hedge foreign currency risk.

Example:
Dell enters into a contract with a broker for delivery of 10,000 shares of Google stock in three months at its current price of $110 per share.    => $1,100,000
Dell has received the right to receive 10,000 shares in three months and incurred an obligation to pay $110 per share at that time.
Characteristics of Forward Contracts and Markets:
OTC market, tailor-made, typically a credit instrument (but sometimes a collateral may be asked)

FUTURES MARKETS
Futures are standardized forward contracts, traded in organized exchanges and ensured by a central clearing house.
The owner of a future has the OBLIGATION to sell or buy something in the future at a predetermined price.
A margin is always required, deposited at the Clearing House. (Initial Margin vs. Maintenance margin)
Standardized contracts permit centralized trading without market makers.
In a futures market, the size, the maturity (delivery) date, and the specifications of the traded asset (for commodities and agriculturals) are standardized. 
Unlike forward contracts, futures contracts are normally traded on an exchange.
To make trading possible, the exchange specifies certain standardized features of the contract.

The differences between forwards and futures
*      Forward contact is typically a credit instrument between a bank and its client; in futures delivery is reinforced only by depositing a margin.
*      Forwards are tailor-made (the bank sets the maturity date and the amount by responding to its client’s needs), futures contracts are standardized.
*      Forwards are an OTC instrument, futures trade in organized centralized exchanges supported by centralized clearing houses.
*      Thus, settlement and margins are strictly regulated in futures; subject to ‘relations’ in forwards
*      In futures, there is daily mark-to-market, in forwards not (therefore, the payoff structure with futures is slightly different from forwards; you may gain or lose slightly more with futures)
*      In futures, the clearing house is the counterparty to alloutstanding contracts.
OPTIONS
*      An option is the right but not the obligation to buy or sell a financial asset at a predetermined price.
*      Gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy share at a preset price for a specified period of time.
*      The owner of an options has the OPTION to buy or sell something at a predetermined price and is therefore more costly than a futures contract.
*      The price in the contract is known as the exercise price or strike price.
*      The date in the contract is known as the expiration date or maturity.
*      American options can be exercised at any time up to the expiration date.
*      European options can be exercised onlyon the expiration date itself.
Most of the options that are traded on exchanges are American
There are four types of participants in options markets:
1. Buyers of calls
2. Seller of calls
3. Buyer of puts
4. Seller of puts


It is an agreement whereby the option seller (writer) gives the option buyer this right, in exchange for a premium (called option price)
*      Two types of options: Call Options: The right to buy          Put options: The right to sell
*      Two styles of options:
American options: Can be exercised at any time till expiration, European options can only be exercised on the maturity date.
*      Options can trade both OTC and in organized exchanges.
Example:
Dell enters into a contract with a broker for an option (right) to purchase 10,000 shares of Google shares at its current price of $110 per share.
The broker charges $3,000 for holding the contract open for two weeks at a set price.
Dell has received the right, but not the obligation to purchase this stock at $110 within the next two weeks.




SWAPS
A swap is an agreement between two parties to exchange a sequence of cash flows.
An interest rate swap is an agreement between two parties to exchange a sequence of fixed interest rate payments against floating interest rate payments.

CONCEPT OF DERIVATIVE INSTRUMENTS
The forward contract and the option contract both involve a future delivery of stock.
The value of each of these contracts relies on the underlying asset –the Google stock.
Therefore, these financial instruments (the FORWARD and the OPTION contracts) are known as derivatives because they derive their value from values of other assets  (e.g., Google stocks or other stocks or bonds or commodities). Or, their value relates to a market –determined indicator
(e.g., interest rates or the S&P’s 500 index).

Who uses derivatives?
a. Producers and consumers: Hedgers
Example:
Heartland –Large producer of potatoes
McDonald –Large consumer of potatoes (French fries)
The objective is not to gamble on the outcome or to profit butto lock in a price at which both of them obtain an acceptable profit.
Both companies, the producer and the consumer, are hedgers.
They hedge (protect) their positions to ensure an acceptable financial outcome.                  
b. Speculators and arbitrageurs:Speculators
The objective is to gamble on the outcome or to profit based on the outcome.
Types of traders

  •  Hedgers

Hedgers use derivatives to reduce the risk that they face from potential future movements in a market variable.

  •  Speculators

Speculators use them to bet on the future direction of a market variable.

  •   Arbitrageurs

Arbitrageurs take offsetting positions in two or more instruments to lock in a profit.

Why use derivatives?/Reasons to use derivatives
-Changes in the price of jet fuel: Delta, Continental, United….

-Changes in interest rates: Citigroup, AIG, BoA…..

-Changes in exchange rates: GE, GM, Cisco …..
         Hedging- aganist volatility
         Interest rate volatility
         Stock price volatility
         Exchage rate volatility
         Commodity prices volatility
         General Rule for Hedgers:
         If you are going to sell something in the near future but want to lock in a secured price, you take a short position.
         If you are going to receive/buy something in the future but want to lock in a secured price, you take a long position.

Speculation-aganist extremely risk
         High portion of leverage
         Huge returns
The Role of Speculators:
         As the name implies, speculators are involved in price betting and take the risk of price movements against them.
Also derivatives create
         a complete market, defined as a market in which all identifiable payoffs can be obtained by trading the securities available in the market*.
         and market efficiency, characterized by low transaction costs and greater liquidity.
Summary
A forward or futures contract involves an obligation to buy or sell an asset at a certain time in the future for a certain price.
There are two types of options: calls and puts.
A call option gives the holder the right to buy an asset by a certain date for a certain price. 
A put option gives the holder the right to sell an asset by a certain date for a certain price.
Three main types of traders can be identified:  hedgers, speculators, and arbitrageurs.
Hedgers are in the position where they face risk  associated with the price of an asset. They use derivatives to reduce or eliminate this risk.
Speculators wish to bet on future movements in the price of an asset. They use derivatives to get extra leverage.
Arbitrageurs are in business to take advantage of a discrepancy between prices in two different markets.

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